Scatter Graphs and Correlation

Plot scatter graphs and describe correlation for GCSE Maths. Draw and use lines of best fit.

Scatter graphs plot pairs of data to show relationships. Correlation describes the strength and direction of the relationship.

Core Concepts

Types of Correlation

  • Positive: as one increases, the other increases.
  • Negative: as one increases, the other decreases.
  • No correlation: no clear pattern.

Strength

  • Strong: points close to a line.
  • Weak: points spread more widely.

Line of Best Fit

A straight line that best represents the trend. It should:

  • Pass through the mean point (xˉ,yˉ)(\bar{x}, \bar{y}).
  • Have roughly equal numbers of points above and below.

Using the Line of Best Fit

Interpolation: estimating within the data range (reliable). Extrapolation: estimating outside the data range (unreliable).

Outliers

Points far from the general trend. May be errors or unusual cases.

Worked Example: Example

Problem

Plot height vs. shoe size for 10 students. Draw line of best fit. Use it to estimate shoe size for a student of height 170 cm.

Solution

Practice Problems

    1. Describe the correlation: temperature vs. ice cream sales.
    1. Why is extrapolation unreliable?
    1. Identify the outlier from a scatter graph.

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Key Takeaways

  • Positive, negative, or no correlation.

  • Line of best fit through the mean point.

  • Interpolation is reliable; extrapolation is not.

  • Correlation ≠ causation.

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